A Diamond in the Rough

Lucara Diamond is a classic FMT Investment Advisory Special Situation. The business has the following characteristics: An aligned management team and board of directors who own 21% of the common shares Profitable (has paid out $257 million in dividends since 2014) A strong balance sheet with no debt An attractive valuation (9.7x TTM earnings) with…

Huge Potential Ahead

I believe we are sleepwalking into a major rally… oil is undersupplied by at least 500,000 barrels per day. Crude inventories are depleting and the decline curve (well depletion) never sleeps. Meanwhile, oil companies haven’t been this cheap versus the WTI spot price in 25-30 years. As for the macro, summer travel is upon us,…

The Winning Hand

The Winning Hand

Over time (typically between 6 months and 3 years), stock prices will approximate the intrinsic value of the businesses they represent. If you’re a speculator or you base your investment decisions on emotion, intrinsic value means absolutely nothing to you and we wish your hard-earned money well with your magic eight ball. And if you…

It’s Not Time Yet

It’s Not Time Yet

To paraphrase Sir John Templeton, bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. In the short-term, markets aren’t about math (though they always revert to it). They are about psychology. This bull market began in March of 2009. The psychology of the markets was as pessimistic as…

Predictions Are Nonsense

Predictions Are Nonsense

FMT Investment Advisory implements and reveres value-based investment ideas.  Predictions for Dow 50,000 or Dow 6,000 are utterly nonsense. Soothsaying isn’t a formula for successful investing. Our advice is to ignore, delete, unfriend, or unsubscribe to anything or anyone pontificating such hogwash. Outlandish predictions are great for attracting eyeballs, but they are virtually useless to…